{"id":116457,"date":"2025-07-16T12:18:59","date_gmt":"2025-07-16T16:18:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.freethink.com\/?post_type=ftm_person&#038;p=116457"},"modified":"2025-07-16T12:19:12","modified_gmt":"2025-07-16T16:19:12","slug":"dan-gardner","status":"publish","type":"ftm_person","link":"https:\/\/www.freethink.com\/people\/dan-gardner","title":{"rendered":"Dan Gardner"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"f-block f-block--profile\">\n    <div class=\"container mx-auto f-block__inner\">\n        <div class=\"container grid grid-cols-4 px-5 pt-8 mx-auto sm:px-7 md:px-10 sm:pt-10 md:pt-12 gap-x-9 sm:grid-cols-6 md:grid-cols-8 lg:grid-cols-10 sm:grid-row-2 gap-y-2 md:gap-y-6\">\n\n            <!-- image and title -->\n            <div class=\"col-span-full sm:col-span-4 md:col-span-6 lg:col-span-8\">\n\n                <div class=\"md:grid-cols-6 lg:grid-cols-8 md:grid md:gap-8 \">\n                    <div class=\"md:col-span-2\">\n                        <img decoding=\"async\" width=\"600\" height=\"600\" src=\"https:\/\/www.freethink.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/dan-gardner-headshot.jpg?quality=75&amp;w=600&amp;h=600&amp;crop=1\" class=\"square-img profile-block__image w-full mb-8 md:mb-0 rounded-2xl lg:w-auto\" alt=\"A middle-aged man with short gray hair wearing a striped dress shirt, tie, and suspenders, looking directly at the camera against a plain background.\" \/>                    <\/div>\n                    <div class=\"md:col-span-4 lg:col-span-6\">\n                        <div class=\"profile-block__person-type\">\n                            Contributor                        <\/div>\n                        <h1 class=\"profile-block__person-name\">\n                            Dan Gardner                        <\/h1>\n                        <div class=\"profile-block__subtitle\">\n                                                    <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n\n            <!-- classification -->\n            <div class=\"col-span-full sm:col-span-2 md:row-span-2  \">\n                \n                            <\/div>\n\n            <!-- contact -->\n            <div class=\"col-span-full md:col-span-2\">\n                <div class=\"font-semibold profile-block__subtext\">\n                    Contact\n                <\/div>\n                <div class=\"profile-block__email\">\n                                    <\/div>\n                <div class=\"profile-block__social-links\">\n                                            <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/@dgardner\" class=\"profile-block__social-link\" rel=\"me\" target=\"_blank\">\n                            <?xml version=\"1.0\" encoding=\"UTF-8\"?>\n<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"32\" height=\"32\" viewBox=\"0 0 32 32\">\n  <path d=\"M24.8392 3H29.2861L19.571 14.0133L31 29H22.0512L15.0421 19.9107L7.0222 29H2.57266L12.9639 17.22L2 3H11.176L17.5116 11.308L24.8392 3ZM23.2785 26.36H25.7426L9.83711 5.50133H7.19293L23.2785 26.36Z\"><\/path>\n<\/svg>\n                            <div class=\"sr-only\">\n                                @dgardner                            <\/div>\n                        <\/a>\n                                                            <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n\n            <!-- bio -->\n            <div class=\"col-span-full md:col-span-4 lg:col-span-5 xl:col-span-6 xmd:col-start-3 xlg:col-start-3 xxl:col-start-3\">\n                <div class=\"profile-block__bio\">\n                    <p>Dan Gardner is the best-selling author of &#8220;Risk,&#8221; &#8220;Future Babble,&#8221; &#8220;Superforecasting&#8221; (co-authored with Philip E. Tetlock), and &#8220;How Big Things Get Done&#8221; (co-authored with Bent Flyvbjerg). Prior to becoming an author, Gardner was an award-winning investigative journalist. He currently writes the Substack newsletter <a href=\"https:\/\/dgardner.substack.com\/\">PastPresentFuture<\/a>, about history, psychology, risk, and decision-making.<\/p>\n                <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dan Gardner is the author of several best-selling books, as well as PastPresentFuture, a Substack newsletter about history, psychology, risk, and decision-making.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":116458,"template":"","ftm_taxonomy_challenges":[],"class_list":["post-116457","ftm_person","type-ftm_person","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.9 (Yoast SEO v26.9) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Dan Gardner - Freethink<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Dan Gardner is the author of several best-selling books, as well as PastPresentFuture, a Substack newsletter about history, psychology, risk, and decision-making.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.freethink.com\/people\/dan-gardner\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dan Gardner\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Dan Gardner is the author of several best-selling books, as well as PastPresentFuture, a Substack newsletter about history, psychology, risk, and decision-making.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.freethink.com\/people\/dan-gardner\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Freethink\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-07-16T16:19:12+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.freethink.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/dan-gardner-headshot.jpg?resize=745,630\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"745\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"630\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Dan Gardner - 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